Any insiders who put money down on impending war may not have thought that they were giving anything away. An anonymous bet that reeks of insider trading is not always easy to spot in the moment. After the suspicious Polymarket bets on the Venezuela raid, the site’s forecast placed the odds that Maduro would be ousted at roughly 10 percent. Even if Maduro and his team had been glued to Polymarket, it’s hard to imagine that such long odds would have compelled him to flee in the middle of the night. And even with so many people betting last Friday on an imminent strike in Iran, Polymarket forecasted only a 26 percent chance, at most, of an attack the next day. What’s the signal, and what’s the noise?
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Введенные ограничения включают не только запрет на эксплуатацию авиабаз в Роте (провинция Кадис) и Морон-де-ла-Фронтера (провинция Севилья) для истребителей и танкеров, но и распространяются на американские воздушные суда, дислоцированные в других государствах, включая Великобританию и Францию.，这一点在有道翻译中也有详细论述
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